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Netflix (NFLX) Continues to Move Higher

by srpatterson on Monday, February 22, 2010 2:17 PM


Netflix Continues to Move Higher

The king of home DVD delivery and streaming video to almost every entertainment device available has rallied in recent weeks reaching a 52 week high just yesterday. Running from $49.13 a share to $66.65 a share yesterday, earnings and the stock’s price to earnings both look decent at this time.

The recent news that Warner Brother’s movies will not be available through Netflix or kiosk chain Redbox for 28 days after a DVD’s release has not affected the stock price in recent weeks. The two distributors will wait on making new releases available to improve the studio’s profits on sold movie DVDs. They also agreed to destroy the DVDs after they are no longer widely rented instead of selling them to the public.

Netflix beat earnings expectations for the fourth quarter by 25% roughly and has nice revenue and earnings growth. Revenue growth is near 25% for the coming quarters with earnings growth at 46% this quarter and at 26% next quarter. Analyst increased their expectations within the past 30 days for the quarter earnings from 45 cents a share to 54 cents a share, thus sparking the recent increase in share price.

The price to earnings (P/E) is at 33 with the stock price near $65 at the close today. This is slightly lower than the 46% earnings increase but higher than next quarters 25% expected increase. If analyst nudge their expectations higher again, the stock should move accordingly. Look for this increase as a chance to buy or look for a slight sell off for your chance to trade the stock long.

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comScore Moves Higher on Acquisition

by srpatterson on Thursday, February 11, 2010 1:35 PM

comScore Moves Higher on Acquisition

comScore, an Internet research company, released fourth quarter earnings after the close and beat the street by 4 cents. The stock moved higher today some 14% on the earnings and news that the acquisition of ARSGroup will close in March.

Fourth Quarter Results

comScore earned 21 cents per share in the last quarter of 2009, 18% better than the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue also improved by 7 percent from a year ago period. Forecasts are slightly better than previously with the company somewhat upbeat on corporate spending.

comScore Trade

The stock is trading lower than its growth rate (P/E) and has come down quite a bit prior to today’s rally. Several services are showing quarterly growth rates in the range of 60% – 100%. With the revenue growth rate more in-line with what the company announced last night. The overall picture seems lukewarm for the company and the economy making the optimism today overdone. I think you could make a short-term short position trade when the stock corrects back to near $14 a share.

© 2010 FastSwings.com

   
    
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