Feb
22
2008
Annaly Capital Continues to Perform Well
This is a difficult market. Agricultural Chemicals work some days, Mosaic (MOS) is the one I have
mentioned before but can't see getting into until the market breaks to the
upside. Gold works some weeks, with Barrick Gold (ABX) and Newmont Mining (NEM)
being my favorites. Banks move on certain days, State Street (STT) and Northern
Trust (NTRS) I have recommended before. But overall this is a really tough
market with next to nothing working on a continued basis.
More evidence of how bad this market is, is the new high
list versus the new low list of the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq.
Today the NYSE has 14 new highs while having 92 new lows. Today the NASDAQ has
6 new highs and 157 new lows. (Clearstation Tag & Bad: http://clearstation.etrade.com/cgi-bin/events?Cmd=techev).
Before it's safe to buy the momentum stocks again, these ratios need to
reverse.
Then there's Annaly Capital (NLY). This mid-sized mortgage
investment company out of New York is only $0.50 off it's 52-week high. This
company has stayed away from the sub-prime mortgage investments that have
disrupted the operations of many banks and mortgage investment companies. The
stocks has risen 48% over the past year.
Annaly also invests in real estate and is taxed as a Real
Estate Investment Trust. New York real estate is one of the regions that has
not had the downturn the rest of country is experiencing.
The dividend is a great 6.60%, beating almost all CD and
savings rates across the country. Annaly has a Price/Earnings ratio of 16. But
it also has a revenue growth rate of 162% for the current year. Analysts
continue to raise their earnings guidance for the company. Over the past 90
days, the 6 analysts that follow the stock have raised the company's average
earnings forecast for the current year from 1.95 to 2.63.